Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 18.174925 20.660531 23.315915 26.358562 29.743175 33.387144 37.601673
2024-10-13 14.930747 18.373854 22.305019 27.105025 32.785787 39.271703 47.213216
2024-10-20 11.919665 15.808633 20.533335 26.648808 34.302534 43.508472 55.356512
2024-10-27 9.496993 13.537881 18.746808 25.868633 35.254367 47.092014 63.024702
2024-11-03 8.364353 12.723623 18.647871 27.147133 38.860784 54.245905 75.751636
2024-11-10 7.821064 12.612551 19.438075 29.653807 44.291052 64.197337 92.932333
2024-11-17 7.054648 12.047700 19.493910 31.101802 48.359940 72.612520 108.687765
2024-11-24 6.088990 11.019552 18.718642 31.215404 50.480978 78.430218 121.223036
2024-12-01 5.116147 9.817689 17.505259 30.492338 51.237315 82.276373 131.139611
2024-12-08 4.433869 8.990592 16.768503 30.401847 52.896438 87.506575 143.368580
2024-12-15 3.952403 8.437942 16.405477 30.851838 55.400332 94.133564 158.063045
2024-12-22 3.482394 7.827892 15.858158 30.910927 57.234815 99.793166 171.560967
2024-12-29 3.275367 7.714180 16.213585 32.624615 62.060161 110.675633 194.206213
2025-01-05 2.909023 7.216254 15.793572 32.900200 64.438351 117.737853 211.170737
2025-01-12 2.459540 6.460064 14.775203 31.949959 64.560208 121.036107 222.158164
2025-01-19 2.057310 5.730337 13.704991 30.768009 64.132949 123.333277 231.569549
2025-01-26 1.926998 5.613990 13.888270 32.068412 68.406262 134.049981 255.928034
2025-02-02 1.922508 5.806052 14.753923 34.830528 75.656207 150.449331 290.987766
2025-02-09 1.822840 5.738273 15.036010 36.401564 80.703981 163.160207 320.195166
2025-02-16 1.629775 5.387376 14.630697 36.467536 82.776381 170.543611 340.278362
2025-02-23 1.404143 4.899374 13.836673 35.596312 82.875366 174.242560 353.861687
2025-03-02 1.248665 4.578551 13.398430 35.464025 84.462074 180.807318 372.988026
2025-03-09 1.142923 4.383902 13.245083 35.959279 87.381210 190.053219 397.492018